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Energy markets offer ‘relatively small reaction’ to Iran war, but prices would spike if oil and gas aren’t flowing by the end of the week

Strait of Hormuz closure threatens oil price spike if shipments don't resume by week's end

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Energy markets offer ‘relatively small reaction’ to Iran war, but prices would spike if oil and gas aren’t flowing by the end of the week

Crude oil prices rose 6% on March 2 following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran, but analysts say the market reaction has been surprisingly muted given that the Strait of Hormuz—through which 20% of global oil and gas flows—is essentially closed. Energy experts warn prices could spike significantly higher if oil shipments don't resume by week's end, with the key bottleneck being third-party insurers' reluctance to cover tankers transiting the strait.

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Key Takeaways
Crude oil prices rose 6% on March 2 following U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran
the Strait of Hormuz—through which 20% of global oil and gas flows—is essentially closed
prices could spike significantly higher if oil shipments don't resume by week's end, with the key bottleneck being third-party insurers' reluctance to cover tankers transiting the strait
Key Figures
%20% market_shareGlobal oil and gas flows through Strait of Hormuz
%6% price_changeCrude oil price increase on March 2
Key DatesEvent2026-03-02Deadline2026-03-07
Affected Workflows
Infrastructure CostsForecastingBudgetingTreasury
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Treasury and cash management specialist covering working capital optimization. More from David

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